Technically, this may be true. However, those jobs are linked to our trade with the EU rather than our membership. If we vote to leave, we should expect that ensuring continuity of trade and retaining access to the single market will be a priority, so to suggest that all of these jobs are at risk is quite a leap. Certainly, the demand for our exports will not disappear. Even the sources given for these figures make it clear they are not calculating the cost of a British exit from the EU. The researchers at South Bank University who originally reported figures in this ballpark stress that “we do not seek to test this counterfactual hypothesis”; a similar paper from the National Institute of Social and Economic Research (NIESR) warned that: “there is no a priori reason to suppose that many of these [jobs], if any, would be permanently lost if Britain were to leave the EU.”
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